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Elections · U.S. House · Pennsylvania

2026 Pennsylvania House race, District 16

Mike Kelly (Republican) and Justin Wagner (Democrat) are on the November 3, 2026 ballot for U.S. House in Pennsylvania District 16.

The November ballot

Kelly
$1.2M
Wagner
$67K

Raised so far, filed with the FEC

Not a prediction.

The seat

Mike Kelly

Republican · Holds the seat now

First took office 2011 · Age 78

74
Trades disclosed
$4.5M
Estimated volume
Has not cosponsored a bill that would ban it

From the member's own disclosures and congress.gov. Not cosponsoring is not a vote against a ban.

See their record

How to vote in Pennsylvania

  • General electionNovember 3, 2026 

Register 15 days before the election.

All dates and rules
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How they won the primary

The primary · 49,371 votes

  • Justin Wagner Won: Unopposed 49,371

Primary results as recorded October 12, 2026, ordered by votes. Source: Pennsylvania Department of State certified primary returns. Certified June 17, 2026. A primary result is a recorded fact about a past contest, not a prediction of November.

Where each candidate's money comes from

<1%$2.3KSmall donors$30K45%
24%$288KLarge donors$36K54%
75%$875KPACs--
--Party$50<1%
--Self-funding$620<1%
<1%$3.7KOther--

Small donors give $200 or less; PACs are political action committees. Shares of each candidate's own receipts on file with the FEC. Outside money is not part of these figures.

Also filed for this seat

1 filed

Ballot status not confirmed

None of these has campaign money on file with the FEC.

Filed with the FEC for this seat. No source on record says whether they qualified for the November ballot: independent and minor-party candidates qualify through the state, often by petition, and the FEC does not track whether they did.

How this seat voted last time

R+27 in 2024

  • Mike Kelly Won: 63.7%
  • Preston Nouri: 36.3%

403,632 votes for candidates. A past result is a filed fact, not a prediction of November.

Certified returns via MIT Election Data and Science Lab, from the House Clerk's election statistics and state canvasses.

The district

Census context
People
763K
Median household income
$68K
Unemployment
5.1%
Living below the poverty line
12.4%
Without health insurance
4.9%

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2024 5-year estimates. Context about the district, not a statement about any candidate.

More on the Pennsylvania ballot17 House races statewideWhere to see your full ballot Find your races by ZIP →

Candidates and financing from the FEC, public domain. Candidate totals are reported to the FEC through June 30, 2026. Dataset built 2026-10-12. Nothing here is a forecast, a grade, or a ranking of candidates.