The November ballot
Raised so far, filed with the FEC
Official candidate list: Wisconsin Elections Commission. Not a prediction.
The seat
Tom Tiffany
Republican · Holds the seat now
First took office 2020 · Age 68
Not on the November ballot
How to vote in Wisconsin
- General electionNovember 3, 2026
Register 20 days before online or by mail, the Friday before in person at your clerk, or same-day at the polls on Election Day.
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How they won the primary
The primary · 68,282 votes
- Fred Clark Won: 37.7% 25,716
- Ginger Murray: 31.8% 21,726
- Chris Armstrong: 30.4% 20,764
The total includes 76 write-in or scattered votes not listed by candidate.
The primary · 101,558 votes
- Michael Alfonso Won: 49.0% 49,720
- Kevin Hermening: 26.6% 27,009
- Jessi Ebben: 15.7% 15,937
- Niina Baum: 4.8% 4,893
- Don Raihala: 3.9% 3,926
The total includes 73 write-in or scattered votes not listed by candidate.
Primary results as recorded October 12, 2026, ordered by votes. Source: Wisconsin Elections Commission certified primary canvass. Certified August 25, 2026. A primary result is a recorded fact about a past contest, not a prediction of November.
The money on this race
- Raised by candidates
- $3.7M
- Outside money
- $4.9M
Outside money, for and against
Independent expenditures; direction is each filer's own declared filing. The other $1.5M of the race's $4.9M was spent on candidates not listed here.
Where each candidate's money comes from
Small donors give $200 or less; PACs are political action committees. Shares of each candidate's own receipts on file with the FEC. Outside money is not part of these figures.
Who is spending on this race
The largest groups spending independently here, ranked; open a row for whose race the money went into.
Independent expenditures reported to the FEC; direction is each group's own declared filing.
Not on the November ballot
7 filed- Tom TiffanyRepublican$171K
- Chris ArmstrongDemocrat$37K
- Jessi EbbenRepublican$528K
- Kevin HermeningRepublican$1.2M
- Ginger MurrayDemocrat$160K
Primary candidates who did not advance, committees still on file, and candidacies that ended. Being here is a filing fact, not a mark against anyone.
The district
Census context- People
- 743K
- Median household income
- $73K
- Unemployment
- 3.1%
- Living below the poverty line
- 9.9%
- Without health insurance
- 6.1%
U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2024 5-year estimates. Context about the district, not a statement about any candidate.
How this seat voted last time
R+27 in 2024
- Tom Tiffany Won: 63.6%
- Kyle Kilbourn: 36.4%
430,384 votes for candidates. A past result is a filed fact, not a prediction of November.
Certified returns via MIT Election Data and Science Lab, from the House Clerk's election statistics and state canvasses.
Candidates and financing from the FEC, public domain. Candidate totals are reported to the FEC through July 22, 2026. Outside money is the FEC's processed total of independent expenditures plus the 24- and 48-hour reports filed since each group's latest regular report. It covers this two-year cycle, the same as the candidate totals. Dataset built 2026-10-12. Nothing here is a forecast, a grade, or a ranking of candidates.