The November ballot
Raised so far, filed with the FEC
Also certified, by write-in: G. Seville Hatch (Independent).
Official candidate list: Arizona Secretary of State. Faces and bars are the campaigns that hold the seat or have $25,000 raised or outside spending on file; being outside that group is a filing fact, not a mark. A candidate marked write-in is certified to run and their votes count; their name is not printed on the ballot. Not a prediction.
The seat
Paul Gosar
Republican · Holds the seat now
First took office 2011 · Age 67
Discloses no individual stock trades.
From the member's own disclosures and congress.gov. Not cosponsoring is not a vote against a ban.
How to vote in Arizona
- General electionNovember 3, 2026
Register 29 days before the election.
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How they won the primary
The primary · 35,700 votes
- Danielle Sterbinsky Won: Unopposed 35,700
The primary · 79,336 votes
- Paul Gosar Won: Unopposed 79,336
Primary results as recorded October 12, 2026, ordered by votes. Source: Arizona Secretary of State official primary canvass. Certified August 6, 2026. A primary result is a recorded fact about a past contest, not a prediction of November.
The money on this race
- Raised by candidates
- $934K
- Outside money
- $784
Outside money, for and against
Independent expenditures; direction is each filer's own declared filing. No outside money is on file for or against the other name on this ballot.
Where each candidate's money comes from
Small donors give $200 or less; PACs are political action committees. Shares of each candidate's own receipts on file with the FEC. Outside money is not part of these figures.
Who is spending on this race
The largest group spending independently here, ranked; open a row for whose race the money went into.
Independent expenditures reported to the FEC; direction is each group's own declared filing.
Not on the November ballot
4 filedPrimary candidates who did not advance, committees still on file, and candidacies that ended. Being here is a filing fact, not a mark against anyone.
The district
Census context- People
- 863K
- Median household income
- $79K
- Unemployment
- 5.3%
- Living below the poverty line
- 10.8%
- Without health insurance
- 9.0%
U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2024 5-year estimates. Context about the district, not a statement about any candidate.
How this seat voted last time
R+31 in 2024
- Paul Gosar Won: 65.3%
- Quacy Smith: 34.7%
382,223 votes for candidates. A past result is a filed fact, not a prediction of November.
Certified returns via MIT Election Data and Science Lab, from the House Clerk's election statistics and state canvasses.
Candidates and financing from the FEC, public domain. Candidate totals are reported to the FEC through July 1, 2026. Outside money is the FEC's processed total of independent expenditures plus the 24- and 48-hour reports filed since each group's latest regular report. It covers this two-year cycle, the same as the candidate totals. Dataset built 2026-10-12. Nothing here is a forecast, a grade, or a ranking of candidates.