The November ballot
Raised so far, filed with the FEC
General-election ballot as recorded August 27, 2026. Not a prediction.
The seat
Neal Dunn
Republican · Holds the seat now
How to vote in Florida
- General electionNovember 3, 2026In 10 weeks
Register 29 days before the election.
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How they won the primary
The primary · 63,983 votes
- Amanda GreenWon33.5%21,415
- Yen Bailey28%17,898
- Brice Barnes27%17,253
- Nicholas Zateslo11.6%7,417
The primary · 87,627 votes
- Austin RogersWon30.5%26,701
- Keith Gross16.4%14,366
- Evan Power15.8%13,831
- Luke Murphy15.4%13,456
- Jim Norton13%11,408
3 more candidates on the full canvass.
Primary results as recorded August 27, 2026, in the canvass's own published order. Via Wikipedia (CC BY-SA), which cites each state's canvass. A primary result is a filed fact about a past contest, not a prediction of November.
The money on this race
- Raised by candidates
- $17M
- Outside money
- $1.6M
Outside money, for and against
Independent expenditures; direction is each filer's own declared filing.
Where each candidate's money comes from
Small donors give under $200; PACs are political action committees. Shares of each candidate's own receipts on file with the FEC. Outside money is not part of these figures.
Who is spending on this race
The 2 groups spending independently here, ranked; open a row for whose race the money went into.
Independent expenditures reported to the FEC; direction is each group's own declared filing.
Not on the November ballot
12 filed- Neal DunnRepublican$831K
- Huy-Yen BaileyDemocrat$178K
- Brice BarnesDemocrat$318K
- Keith GrossRepublican$12M
- Lee JonesRepublican$53K
Primary candidates who did not advance, committees still on file, and candidacies that ended. Being here is a filing fact, not a mark against anyone.
The district
Census context- People
- 793K
- Median household income
- $64K
- Unemployment
- 5.1%
- Living below the poverty line
- 16.6%
- Without health insurance
- 10.8%
U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2024 5-year estimates. Context about the district, not a statement about any candidate.
How this seat voted last time
R+23 in 2024
- Neal P. DunnWon61.6%
- Yen Bailey38.4%
402,280 votes for candidates. A past result is a filed fact, not a prediction of November.
Certified returns via MIT Election Data and Science Lab, from the House Clerk's election statistics and state canvasses.
Candidates and financing from the FEC, public domain; money figures carry their own coverage dates. Dataset built 2026-08-27. Nothing here is a forecast, a grade, or a ranking of candidates.