The November ballot
Raised so far, filed with the FEC
Official candidate list: Florida Division of Elections. Not a prediction.
The seat
Neal Dunn
Republican · Holds the seat now
First took office 2017 · Age 73
Not on the November ballot
How to vote in Florida
- General electionNovember 3, 2026
Register 29 days before the election.
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How they won the primary
The primary · 64,083 votes
- Amanda Green Won: 33.5% 21,462
- Yen Bailey: 28.0% 17,924
- Brice Barnes: 27.0% 17,273
- Nicholas Zateslo: 11.6% 7,424
The primary · 87,705 votes
- Austin Rogers Won: 30.5% 26,726
- Keith Gross: 16.4% 14,381
- Evan Power: 15.8% 13,842
- Luke Murphy: 15.3% 13,461
- Jim Norton: 13.0% 11,420
3 more candidates in the full results at the source named below.
Primary results as recorded October 11, 2026, ordered by votes. Source: Florida Division of Elections certified primary results. Certified August 27, 2026. A primary result is a recorded fact about a past contest, not a prediction of November.
The money on this race
- Raised by candidates
- $16M
- Outside money
- $2.8M
Outside money, for and against
Independent expenditures; direction is each filer's own declared filing. The other $960K of the race's $2.8M was spent on candidates not listed here.
Where each candidate's money comes from
Small donors give $200 or less; PACs are political action committees. Shares of each candidate's own receipts on file with the FEC. Outside money is not part of these figures.
Who is spending on this race
The largest groups spending independently here, ranked; open a row for whose race the money went into.
Independent expenditures reported to the FEC; direction is each group's own declared filing.
Not on the November ballot
12 filed- Neal DunnRepublican$831K
- Yen BaileyDemocrat$178K
- Brice BarnesDemocrat$318K
- Keith GrossRepublican$12M
- Lee JonesRepublican$53K
Primary candidates who did not advance, committees still on file, and candidacies that ended. Being here is a filing fact, not a mark against anyone.
The district
Census context- People
- 793K
- Median household income
- $64K
- Unemployment
- 5.1%
- Living below the poverty line
- 16.6%
- Without health insurance
- 10.8%
U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2024 5-year estimates. Context about the district, not a statement about any candidate. These figures describe the district as drawn before its lines changed for 2026; estimates for the new lines are not yet published.
How this seat voted last time
R+23 in 2024
- Neal Dunn Won: 61.6%
- Yen Bailey: 38.4%
402,280 votes for candidates. The district's lines have changed since this result. A past result is a filed fact, not a prediction of November.
Certified returns via MIT Election Data and Science Lab, from the House Clerk's election statistics and state canvasses.
Candidates and financing from the FEC, public domain. Candidate totals are each campaign's latest FEC report, ending between July 29, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Outside money is the FEC's processed total of independent expenditures plus the 24- and 48-hour reports filed since each group's latest regular report. It covers this two-year cycle, the same as the candidate totals. Dataset built 2026-10-12. Nothing here is a forecast, a grade, or a ranking of candidates.